Estimation of Samsung Electronics’ third quarter performance has completely turned around. Although it was initially estimated that its third quarter performance will be poorer than its second quarter performance, which is Samsung Electronics’ best performance in company’s history, there are outlooks that its upcoming quarterly performance will easily surpass its second quarter performance. It is predicted that it will break its best quarterly performance and continue to make record-breaking performance until fourth quarter.
According to industries and stock industries on the 14th, it is estimated that Samsung Electronics’ operating profit in third quarter will easily surpass $12.3 billion (14 trillion KRW) which was its operating profit in second quarter.
There is much attention towards this outlook as it was initially predicted that Samsung Electronics’ third quarter performance will be poorer than its second quarter performance.
“It seems that performance of our semiconductor business will continue to grow during third quarter.” said Samsung Electronics at a conference call after announcing its second quarter performance. “However it is expected that our overall performance in third quarter will be slightly worse than second quarter due to weakened performance by display and IM (IT and Mobile) sectors.”
Initially industries and stock industries estimated that Samsung Electronics will make about $11.5 billion (13 trillion KRW) in operating profit during third quarter.
However these outlooks were completely turned around recently. Stock industries are putting out reports with higher outlooks of Samsung Electronics’ third quarter performance one after the other. Not only some of stock industries are estimating that its third quarter operating profit will be over $12.3 billion (14 trillion KRW) but some of them are even estimating that its operating profit will be around $12.8 billion (14.5 trillion KRW).
FNGuide’s consensus (average of estimated performance) on Samsung Electronics’ third quarter operating profit, which was around $11.5 billion (13 trillion KRW), also increased to $12.5 billion (14.2235 trillion KRW). Because outlooks are rising every day, some are predicting that final consensus will close upon $13.2 billion (15 trillion KRW).
Value of Samsung Electronics’ stocks, which fell to $1,940 (2.2 million KRW) due to outlooks of poor performance, recovered to $2,204 (2.5 million KRW).
Semiconductor is the reason why outlooks of its performance have completely turned around. Its semiconductor business in third quarter is expected to make up to $8.82 billion (10 trillion KRW). Fact that display and IM sectors, which were seen as causes of poor performance in third quarter, put up reasonable performance also affected outlook of its third quarter performance. Especially it is estimated that amount of reduction in profit due to new OLED lines is not as huge as expected.
“It is estimated that Samsung Electronics will make about $12.8 billion (14.5 trillion KRW) in operating profit during third quarter and record company’s biggest quarterly performance ever.” said Choi Do-yeon who is a researcher for Shinhan Investment Corp. “While semiconductor business department will lead improvement in performance and display business will have its profit reduced due to increased cost for new OLED lines, Samsung Electronics’ overall performance will be better than initial expectations.”
It is expected that Samsung Electronics will continue to ride upward trend of its performance when it has its biggest quarterly performance in third quarter because semiconductor industries will continue to be good condition and IM Business Department’s profit can also be improved due to release of Galaxy Note 8. Also increase in supply of flexible OLEDs, effect of peak season for TV and home appliance sectors, and increase in profits from TVs due to reduction in price of LCD panels are also positive factors.
Shinhan Investment Corp. and Eugene Investment & Securities are estimating that Samsung Electronics’ operating profit in fourth quarter will be $14.6 billion (16.6 trillion KRW) and $14.9 billion (16.9 trillion KRW) respectively.
Staff Reporter Kwon, Keonho | wingh1@etnews.com

Photo Image
<■Samsung Electronics' quarterly performance ▲Operating profit ∆Second quarter of 2016: $7.18 billion (8.144 trillion KRW) ∆Third quarter of 2016: $4.59 billion (5.2001 trillion KRW) ∆Fourth quarter of 2016: $8.13 billion (9.2208 trillion KRW) ∆First quarter of 2017: $8.73 billion (9.8984 trillion KRW) ∆Second quarter of 2017: $12.4 billion (14.0665 trillion KRW) ∆Third quarter of 2017 (estimation): $12.5 billion (14.2235 trillion KRW)>